à Rally effect can occur regardless of a Diversionary theory.
military actions since the end of the Cold War.
Classic work on power transitions and war, inspired extended literature testing main hypothesis that rising states most likely to initiate war when reach power parity with formerly dominant states. An alternative approach to the key question of how the power shift dynamic in world politics creates conditions for war.
Diversionary foreign policy - Wikipedia
An analysis of Russia’ public support for the war and the increasing support for Putin’s conduct of the war are hardly circumstantial. A correlation can be made between the initial Russian response to the Dagestan incursion in August 1999 to the significant increase in public support for Putin. As Figure 1 show prior to the invasion of Chechnya in October 1999, Putin’s overall performance in August of that year sits at 3%. Following the series of apartment buildings in Moscow and Volgodansk in September 1999 that what seemed to be the Russian government’s pre-text to invasion, support for Putin rose dramatically to 79%--a significant increase for a relatively unknown politician.